Tuesday, October 15, 2019

What Happened - The 2016 Election

The 2016 election was quite the ride for the American people. Below, we will explore some facets of the election and through this consider the way in which voters make their decisions. In order to do so, you will need to examine your own decision making matrix and how those tendencies influence what you believe to be true and real.
As a place to begin, take the test below. Save/print your results and bring them to class for October 17:


Here's some analysis on what the test means.

Here's a breakdown on the personality types.

 http://www.humanmetrics.com/personality/type


Issues

  1. Complete the survey to determine your own political profile and who you line up with on the issues of the 2016 Presidential campaign. Print/save the results and bring them to class for October 17. 
  2. Then review the article below to identify the importance voters placed on the top issues. What were the top issues?  http://www.people-press.org/2016/07/07/4-top-voting-issues-in-2016-election/
  3. Examine the gap between Republicans and Democrats regarding the importance they placed on various issues.What does this say about the priorities of a Trump or a Clinton voter? What are the likely differences between these voters? What are the similarities? http://www.people-press.org/2016/07/07/4-top-voting-issues-in-2016-election/4_2-4/ 
  4. Examine the gap between age groups regarding the importance they place on various issues?What are the likely differences between age groups? What are the similarities?  http://www.people-press.org/2016/07/07/4-top-voting-issues-in-2016-election/4_3-4/

Personality

Read the personality profiles of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump 



Read the following article for a different take on their personalities.



For October 17,  answer the questions below:
  1. If you were only voting on personality AS DEFINED BY THE ARTICLES ABOVE, who would you vote for and why?
  2. If the American voter was voting on personality AS DEFINED BY THE ARTICLES ABOVE, how do you think the vote would break down by age and gender?

 The following information is to be considered after the October 17 class.

Voters and Voting Blocks

Take a look at the web page below. This page allows you to make use of actual data with respect to demographics and voting patterns to run some "what if" scenarios. Experiment with the data and come up with three takeaways from your scenarios with an eye to explaining how the election  "turned out".



The Horse Race and Strategy

Use the interactive map below to help you build a prediction model for how you think the next presidential election will turn out.



Polls, Schmols - We Don't Need No Stinking Polls

Sometimes things can be a lot less complicated than they seem. In the article below, a college professor has come up with thirteen key True/False questions that have correctly predicted the US presidential elections for 30 years where "True" is positive for the party in power and "False" is positive for the challenger.


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